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APPENDIX I
MODEL INPUT DATA


RISKS FROM BSE INFECTIVITY IN DORSAL ROOT GANGLIA

a) Input Data for Probabilistic Variables

The variables shown below have been assigned distributions as input to the Monte Carlo simulation. All other variables have fixed values and are given in Section b) below.

data


data



data


data



b) Input Data for Fixed Variables

Age Profile of Cattle Slaughtered in 2000 (as Table 2.1)

Proportion of domestic consumption from export plant: 33.3%

Age range Domestic
consumption
Export approved
meat plants
Total
1. Less than 30 months 177,330 86.2% 791,431 45.4% 909,651
2. 30 to 36 months 18,070 8.8% 395,063 22.7% 407,110
3. 3 years to 4 years 7,535 3.7% 230,309 13.2% 235,332
4. Greater than 4 years 2,769 1.3% 326,409 18.7% 328,255
  205,704   1,743,212   1,880,348

DRG in Carcase

Number of DRG in split carcase 31  
DRG in Sirloin section 9 29.0%
DRG in forerib section 4 12.9%
Remaining DRG 18 58.1%

Exposure to DRG

  Case1 Case 2
Proportion of DRG removed with bone 99.0% 99.9%

Irish Population in 2000: 3,626,087 (1996 census)


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